Global Financial Stability Report

Global Financial Stability Report

Global Financial Stability Report

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Global Financial Stability Report

The Global Financial Stability Report provides an assessment of the global financial system and markets, and addresses emerging market financing in a global context. It focuses on current market conditions, highlighting systemic issues that could pose a risk to financial stability and sustained market access by emerging market borrowers. The Report draws out the financial ramifications of economic imbalances highlighted by the IMF's World Economic Outlook. It contains, as special features, analytical chapters or essays on structural or systemic issues relevant to international financial stability.

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2026

Global Financial Markets Confront the War in the Middle East and Amplification Risks

April 14, 2026

Description:

The global financial system is confronting the ongoing war in the Middle East, potential inflationary pressures, rising risks of further tightening in financial conditions, and several amplification channels that could lead from market turmoil to financial instability. Cross-border portfolio flows to emerging markets, largely intermediated by non-bank financial institutions, offer important opportunities but also carry risks, including heightened sensitivity to shifts in global risk sentiment

2025

Shifting Ground beneath the Calm

October 14, 2025

Description:

Financial stability risks remain elevated amid risks presented by stretched asset valuations, growing pressure in sovereign bond markets, and the increasing role of nonbank financial institutions.

Despite its deep liquidity, the global foreign exchange market remains vulnerable to macrofinancial uncertainty. Shocks can raise funding costs, widen bid-ask spreads, and intensify excess exchange rate return volatility. These pressures are amplified by structural vulnerabilities including currency mismatches, concentrated dealer activity, and greater NBFI participation. Stress in foreign exchange markets can spill over other asset classes, tightening broader financial conditions.

Increased local currency sovereign bond issuance and domestic absorption have supported emerging market resilience, but financial stability risks could arise from heavy borrowing, overreliance on narrow investor bases, and inadequate policy frameworks.

Enhancing Resilience amid Uncertainty 

April 22, 2025

Description:

Enhancing Resilience amid Uncertainty
Against the heightened volatility of asset prices, Chapter 1 assesses that global financial stability risks have increased significantly. This assessment is supported by three key forward-looking vulnerabilities: (i) valuations remain high in some key markets; (ii) some highly leveraged financial institutions and their nexus with banking systems; and (iii) risks of market turmoil and challenges to debt sustainability for highly indebted sovereigns.

2024

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2024 - Steadying the Course: Uncertainty, Artificial Intelligence, and Financial Stability 

October 22, 2024

Description:

Chapter 1 of the October 2024 Global Financial Stability Report shows that although near-term financial stability risks have remained contained, mounting vulnerabilities could worsen future downside risks by amplifying shocks, which have become more probable because of the widening disconnect between elevated economic uncertainty and low financial volatility.  

Chapter 2 presents evidence that high macroeconomic uncertainty can threaten macrofinancial stability by exacerbating downside tail risks to markets, credit supply, and GDP growth. These relationships are stronger when debt vulnerabilities are elevated, or financial market volatility is low (during episodes of a macro-market disconnect).  

Chapter 3 assesses recent developments in AI and Generative AI and their implications for capital markets. It presents new analytical work and results from a global outreach to market participants and regulators, delineates potential benefits and risks that may arise from the widespread adoption of these new technologies, and makes suggestions for policy responses.